Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 04:10, Estadio Hidalgo
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Pachuca a 39% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 35% for Cruz Azul. Expected goals: Pachuca 1.5, Cruz Azul 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
PAC39%Draw26%CAZ35%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✗Fair odds 2.59Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.79Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes60%✓Fair odds 1.67Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.06Draw no betHome53%✗Fair odds 1.90Asian handicapAway +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.63Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome48%✗Fair odds 2.07Win to nilHome18%✗Fair odds 5.58
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.4%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-28.1%
- 1-07.2%
- 0-16.7%
Recent form
Pachuca
- LMonterrey 2-1 Pachuca
- DPachuca 3-3 Necaxa
- LSantos 1-0 Pachuca
- DPachuca 2-2 Tijuana
- WAtlante 0-3 Pachuca
Cruz Azul
- WCruz Azul 5-0 FC Juárez
- DPumas UNAM 3-3 Cruz Azul
- DCruz Azul 3-3 Toluca
- LMonterrey 1-0 Cruz Azul
- WCruz Azul 4-3 América
Head to head
- WCruz Azul 1-2 Pachuca
- LPachuca 0-1 Cruz Azul
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.