Pachuca vs Necaxa prediction
Monday 12 October 2026, 00:10, Estadio Hidalgo
Full time: 3-3
Our prediction
The model gives Pachuca a 60% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 16% for Necaxa. Expected goals: Pachuca 1.9, Necaxa 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
PAC60%Draw24%NCX16%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%✗Fair odds 1.67Double chanceHome or draw84%✓Fair odds 1.19Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.552%✓Fair odds 1.92Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%✓Fair odds 1.30Both teams to scoreYes50%✓Fair odds 1.98Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.83Draw no betHome79%Fair odds 1.27Asian handicapHome -0.560%✗Fair odds 1.67Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome63%✗Fair odds 1.58Win to nilHome34%✗Fair odds 2.91
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.3%
- 2-011.2%
- 1-011.1%
- 2-19.8%
- 0-07.2%
Recent form
Pachuca
- LSantos 1-0 Pachuca
- DPachuca 2-2 Tijuana
- WAtlante 0-3 Pachuca
- WFC Juárez 0-2 Pachuca
- DPachuca 1-1 Guadalajara
Necaxa
- LNecaxa 2-4 América
- LAtlético de San Luis 3-1 Necaxa
- LNecaxa 0-1 Puebla
- DTigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa
- LNecaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Head to head
- WPachuca 2-1 Necaxa
- WNecaxa 0-1 Pachuca
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.