Paris FC vs Lyon prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:45, Stade Jean Bouin
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Paris FC a 41% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 31% for Lyon. Expected goals: Paris FC 1.4, Lyon 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
PAR41%Draw28%LYON31%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✗Fair odds 2.43Double chanceEither team72%✗Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.550%✗Fair odds 2.00Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✗Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes55%✗Fair odds 1.81Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.56Draw no betHome57%Fair odds 1.76Asian handicapAway +0.559%✓Fair odds 1.70Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome50%✗Fair odds 2.01Win to nilHome21%✗Fair odds 4.69
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 55% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.2%
- 1-09%
- 2-18.9%
- 0-07.9%
- 1-27.5%
Recent form
Paris FC
- WMarseille 2-3 Paris FC
- WParis FC 3-0 Nice
- DTroyes 0-0 Paris FC
- WParis FC 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain
- LStade Rennais 2-1 Paris FC
Lyon
- WLyon 3-1 AJ Auxerre
- DLyon 1-1 Le Havre AC
- WToulouse 0-2 Lyon
- LLyon 0-4 Lens
- LToulouse 2-1 Lyon
Head to head
- DLyon 1-1 Paris FC
- DParis FC 3-3 Lyon
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.