Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Monaco prediction
Friday 4 September 2026, 20:05, Parc des Princes
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Paris Saint-Germain a 68% chance of winning, 18% for a draw and 14% for AS Monaco. Expected goals: Paris Saint-Germain 2.5, AS Monaco 1.1. Most likely score: 2-1.
PSG68%Draw18%MON14%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home68%✗Fair odds 1.47Double chanceHome or draw86%✗Fair odds 1.16Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.569%✓Fair odds 1.44Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.588%✓Fair odds 1.14Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.64Correct score2-19%✗Fair odds 10.65Draw no betHome83%✗Fair odds 1.20Asian handicapHome -0.568%✗Fair odds 1.47Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome68%✓Fair odds 1.48Win to nilHome31%✗Fair odds 3.23
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 2-19.4%
- 2-08.8%
- 1-18.1%
- 3-17.9%
- 3-07.4%
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
- DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- DStade Rennais 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- LParis FC 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain
- WLens 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- WParis Saint-Germain 1-0 Brest
AS Monaco
- WAS Monaco 2-0 Marseille
- WLe Havre AC 0-1 AS Monaco
- LStrasbourg 5-4 AS Monaco
- LAS Monaco 0-1 Lille
- WMetz 1-2 AS Monaco
Head to head
- LParis Saint-Germain 1-3 AS Monaco
- DParis Saint-Germain 2-2 AS Monaco
- WAS Monaco 2-3 Paris Saint-Germain
- LAS Monaco 1-0 Paris Saint-Germain
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.