Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 19:45, Parc des Princes
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Paris Saint-Germain a 76% chance of winning, 15% for a draw and 10% for Le Mans. Expected goals: Paris Saint-Germain 2.9, Le Mans 1.0. Most likely score: 2-1.
PSG76%Draw15%MNS10%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home76%✓Fair odds 1.32Double chanceHome or draw90%✓Fair odds 1.11Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.575%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.591%✓Fair odds 1.10Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.64Correct score2-18%✗Fair odds 11.86Draw no betHome89%✓Fair odds 1.13Asian handicapHome -1.557%✓Fair odds 1.76Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.96First team to scoreHome72%✓Fair odds 1.38Win to nilHome34%✗Fair odds 2.97
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 2-18.4%
- 2-08.3%
- 3-18.2%
- 3-08.1%
- 1-16.2%
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
- WMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- WBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain
- WParis Saint-Germain 6-1 Slovan Bratislava
- LParis Saint-Germain 1-2 AS Monaco
- DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
Le Mans
- WLe Mans 2-1 Lorient
- DLe Mans 2-2 Lens
- DNice 1-1 Le Mans
- LStade Rennais 3-2 Le Mans
- DLe Mans 2-2 Brest
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.