Parma vs Genoa prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00, Ennio Tardini
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Parma a 35% chance of winning, 34% for a draw and 31% for Genoa. Expected goals: Parma 1.0, Genoa 0.9. Most likely score: 0-0.
PAR35%Draw34%GEN31%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home35%✓Fair odds 2.88Double chanceHome or draw69%✓Fair odds 1.45Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.571%✗Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.557%✓Fair odds 1.76Both teams to scoreNo62%✗Fair odds 1.61Correct score0-017%✗Fair odds 6.06Draw no betHome53%✓Fair odds 1.89Asian handicapAway +0.565%✗Fair odds 1.53Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.87First team to scoreHome43%✓Fair odds 2.31Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.14
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% |
| Both teams score | 38% |
Most likely scores
- 0-016.5%
- 1-114.5%
- 1-013.9%
- 0-112.8%
- 2-07.2%
Recent form
Parma
- LComo 2-1 Parma
- DParma 1-1 Monza
- LJuventus 2-0 Parma
- LParma 0-1 Cagliari
- WParma 1-0 Sassuolo
Genoa
- DGenoa 1-1 Frosinone
- LGenoa 1-4 Como
- LLazio 1-0 Genoa
- LGenoa 0-2 Napoli
- LLecce 1-0 Genoa
Head to head
- DParma 0-0 Genoa
- DGenoa 0-0 Parma
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.