Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 00:30, Subaru Park
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Philadelphia Union a 58% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 20% for CF Montréal. Expected goals: Philadelphia Union 2.2, CF Montréal 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
PHI58%Draw22%MTL20%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home58%✓Fair odds 1.72Double chanceHome or draw80%✓Fair odds 1.25Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%✗Fair odds 1.53Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%✓Fair odds 1.17Both teams to scoreYes63%✗Fair odds 1.59Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 10.27Draw no betHome74%✓Fair odds 1.34Asian handicapHome -0.558%✓Fair odds 1.72Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome61%✓Fair odds 1.63Win to nilHome26%✓Fair odds 3.90
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-19.7%
- 2-19.7%
- 2-08%
- 3-17%
- 1-06.7%
Recent form
Philadelphia Union
- WRed Bull New York 1-3 Philadelphia Union
- DAustin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 Inter Miami CF
- WNew York City FC 2-3 Philadelphia Union
- WPhiladelphia Union 3-2 Atlanta United FC
CF Montréal
- LInter Miami CF 7-1 CF Montréal
- DCF Montréal 2-2 LA Galaxy
- WColumbus Crew 1-2 CF Montréal
- DCF Montréal 1-1 D.C. United
- DCF Montréal 2-2 New England Revolution
Head to head
- WCF Montréal 1-2 Philadelphia Union
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.