Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:30, Subaru Park

Full time: 2-2

Our prediction

The model gives Philadelphia Union a 50% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 27% for Charlotte FC. Expected goals: Philadelphia Union 2.0, Charlotte FC 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score68%

Most likely scores

  • 1-19.7%
  • 2-19.2%
  • 2-26.7%
  • 1-26.6%
  • 2-06.2%

Recent form

Philadelphia Union

  • WChicago Fire FC 1-3 Philadelphia Union
  • WPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake
  • WPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SC
  • WSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union
  • WSan Diego FC 0-5 Philadelphia Union

Charlotte FC

  • LColumbus Crew 3-1 Charlotte FC
  • WCharlotte FC 3-2 FC Dallas
  • LCharlotte FC 0-1 Chicago Fire FC
  • WD.C. United 1-2 Charlotte FC
  • DFC Cincinnati 3-3 Charlotte FC

Head to head

  • LCharlotte FC 2-1 Philadelphia Union
  • LCharlotte FC 2-0 Philadelphia Union

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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