Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC prediction
Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30, Subaru Park
Full time: 4-2
Our prediction
The model gives Philadelphia Union a 64% chance of winning, 18% for a draw and 18% for Orlando City SC. Expected goals: Philadelphia Union 2.8, Orlando City SC 1.5. Most likely score: 2-1.
PHI64%Draw18%ORL18%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home64%✓Fair odds 1.56Double chanceEither team82%✓Fair odds 1.21Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.581%✓Fair odds 1.24Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.594%✓Fair odds 1.07Both teams to scoreYes74%✓Fair odds 1.35Correct score2-18%✗Fair odds 12.72Draw no betHome78%✓Fair odds 1.29Asian handicapHome -0.564%✓Fair odds 1.56Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.96First team to scoreHome64%✓Fair odds 1.57Win to nilHome20%✗Fair odds 5.02
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 63% |
| Both teams score | 74% |
Most likely scores
- 2-17.9%
- 3-17.4%
- 1-16%
- 2-26%
- 3-25.6%
Recent form
Philadelphia Union
- WSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union
- WSan Diego FC 0-5 Philadelphia Union
- WPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati
- WPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF Montréal
- WRed Bull New York 1-3 Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
- LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SC
- WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC
- WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SC
- WOrlando City SC 1-0 San Diego FC
- DMinnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SC
Head to head
- LOrlando City SC 4-3 Philadelphia Union
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.