Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 00:30, Subaru Park
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Philadelphia Union a 62% chance of winning, 20% for a draw and 18% for Real Salt Lake. Expected goals: Philadelphia Union 2.4, Real Salt Lake 1.3. Most likely score: 2-1.
PHI62%Draw20%RSL18%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home62%✓Fair odds 1.60Double chanceHome or draw82%✓Fair odds 1.22Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.571%✓Fair odds 1.41Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.589%✓Fair odds 1.13Both teams to scoreYes66%✓Fair odds 1.52Correct score2-19%✓Fair odds 10.73Draw no betHome78%✓Fair odds 1.29Asian handicapHome -0.562%✓Fair odds 1.60Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome64%✓Fair odds 1.57Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 3.95
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams score | 66% |
Most likely scores
- 2-19.3%
- 1-18.3%
- 3-17.5%
- 2-07.4%
- 3-06%
Recent form
Philadelphia Union
- WPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SC
- WSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union
- WSan Diego FC 0-5 Philadelphia Union
- WPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati
- WPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF Montréal
Real Salt Lake
- WReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England Revolution
- LSeattle Sounders FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake
- LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
- LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC
- LHouston Dynamo FC 2-1 Real Salt Lake
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.