Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC prediction

Sunday 6 September 2026, 03:30, Providence Park

Full time: 5-4

Our prediction

The model gives Portland Timbers a 47% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 28% for Minnesota United FC. Expected goals: Portland Timbers 1.8, Minnesota United FC 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score63%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.3%
  • 2-19.4%
  • 1-27%
  • 2-06.9%
  • 1-06.9%

Recent form

Portland Timbers

  • LPortland Timbers 1-2 Austin FC
  • DLAFC 1-1 Portland Timbers
  • WPortland Timbers 3-1 San Diego FC
  • LChicago Fire FC 2-1 Portland Timbers
  • WPortland Timbers 2-1 Seattle Sounders FC

Minnesota United FC

  • DMinnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SC
  • WSan Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC
  • LMinnesota United FC 1-2 Atlanta United FC
  • DReal Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC
  • DMinnesota United FC 1-1 San Diego FC

Head to head

  • LMinnesota United FC 2-0 Portland Timbers

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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