Portsmouth vs Cardiff City prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:00, Fratton Park
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Portsmouth a 39% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 35% for Cardiff City. Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.5, Cardiff City 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
POR39%Draw26%CAR35%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✓Fair odds 2.58Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.74Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✓Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes61%✗Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.24Draw no betHome52%✓Fair odds 1.91Asian handicapAway +0.561%✗Fair odds 1.63Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome48%✓Fair odds 2.07Win to nilHome17%✓Fair odds 5.73
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.1%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-28.2%
- 1-06.8%
- 0-16.4%
Recent form
Portsmouth
- LPortsmouth 0-2 Derby County
- LBristol City 2-1 Portsmouth
- WLincoln City 1-3 Portsmouth
- LPortsmouth 1-3 Queens Park Rangers
- DPortsmouth 1-1 Birmingham City
Cardiff City
- LQueens Park Rangers 2-1 Cardiff City
- DCardiff City 2-2 Sheffield United
- DDerby County 2-2 Cardiff City
- DCardiff City 1-1 Wrexham
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.