Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction

Saturday 7 November 2026, 13:30, Fratton Park

Our prediction

The model gives Portsmouth a 41% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 29% for Stoke City. Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.3, Stoke City 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score48%

Most likely scores

  • 1-114.1%
  • 1-011.3%
  • 0-010.6%
  • 0-19.1%
  • 2-18.4%

Recent form

Portsmouth

  • DBurnley 0-0 Portsmouth
  • WPortsmouth 2-1 Millwall
  • DWolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth
  • WNorwich City 0-1 Portsmouth
  • WPortsmouth 3-2 Sheffield United

Stoke City

  • WStoke City 2-0 Preston North End
  • DStoke City 0-0 Bristol City
  • WDerby County 0-1 Stoke City
  • LStoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough
  • WBolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City

Head to head

  • WStoke City 1-3 Portsmouth
  • LPortsmouth 0-1 Stoke City

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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