Puebla vs Toluca prediction
Wednesday 16 September 2026, 02:00, Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Puebla a 20% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 54% for Toluca. Expected goals: Puebla 1.0, Toluca 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
PUE20%Draw25%TOL54%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away54%✓Fair odds 1.85Double chanceAway or draw80%✓Fair odds 1.26Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.551%✗Fair odds 1.95Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%✗Fair odds 1.31Both teams to scoreYes53%✗Fair odds 1.90Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.23Draw no betAway73%✓Fair odds 1.38Asian handicapHome +1.569%✓Fair odds 1.44Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway59%✓Fair odds 1.70Win to nilAway30%✓Fair odds 3.36
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 0-110.5%
- 0-29.9%
- 1-29.8%
- 0-07.5%
Recent form
Puebla
- WNecaxa 0-1 Puebla
- LAmérica 2-0 Puebla
- WPuebla 3-2 Santos
- WPachuca 2-3 Puebla
- DPuebla 1-1 Guadalajara
Toluca
- WToluca 5-2 Atlas
- WToluca 4-0 FC Juárez
- WQuerétaro 1-2 Toluca
- DAtlante 0-0 Toluca
- WToluca 3-1 Necaxa
Head to head
- DPuebla 0-0 Toluca
- LToluca 3-1 Puebla
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.