Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul prediction
Monday 12 October 2026, 02:15, Estadio Olímpico Universitario
Full time: 3-3
Our prediction
The model gives Pumas UNAM a 41% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 34% for Cruz Azul. Expected goals: Pumas UNAM 1.7, Cruz Azul 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
UNAM41%Draw25%CAZ34%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✗Fair odds 2.42Double chanceEither team75%✗Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✓Fair odds 1.62Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes64%✓Fair odds 1.56Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.84Draw no betHome55%Fair odds 1.81Asian handicapAway +0.559%✓Fair odds 1.71Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome50%✓Fair odds 1.99Win to nilHome17%✗Fair odds 5.77
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.3%
- 2-18.8%
- 1-27.9%
- 2-26.6%
- 1-06.2%
Recent form
Pumas UNAM
- LPumas UNAM 2-3 Atlético de San Luis
- DAtlas 1-1 Pumas UNAM
- LGuadalajara 3-0 Pumas UNAM
- WPumas UNAM 3-1 León
- LTijuana 2-0 Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul
- DCruz Azul 3-3 Toluca
- LMonterrey 1-0 Cruz Azul
- WCruz Azul 4-3 América
- WCruz Azul 1-0 Santos
- WNecaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Head to head
- LPumas UNAM 1-2 Cruz Azul
- DCruz Azul 0-0 Pumas UNAM
- DPumas UNAM 2-2 Cruz Azul
- WCruz Azul 2-3 Pumas UNAM
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.