Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County prediction
Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:45, MATRADE Loftus Road
Full time: 4-1
Our prediction
The model gives Queens Park Rangers a 43% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 29% for Derby County. Expected goals: Queens Park Rangers 1.4, Derby County 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
QPR43%Draw28%DER29%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home43%✓Fair odds 2.31Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.91Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Both teams to scoreYes53%✓Fair odds 1.89Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.46Draw no betHome60%✓Fair odds 1.66Asian handicapAway +0.557%✗Fair odds 1.76Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome51%✓Fair odds 1.95Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.25
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.4%
- 1-09.9%
- 2-19%
- 0-08.5%
- 2-07.9%
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers
- DWest Ham United 1-1 Queens Park Rangers
- DQueens Park Rangers 2-2 Preston North End
- DWest Bromwich Albion 1-1 Queens Park Rangers
- DCharlton Athletic 0-0 Queens Park Rangers
- LQueens Park Rangers 0-1 Middlesbrough
Derby County
- DDerby County 1-1 Wrexham
- DBurnley 1-1 Derby County
- LDerby County 1-2 Birmingham City
- LDerby County 0-1 West Bromwich Albion
- LWest Ham United 3-0 Derby County
Head to head
- LQueens Park Rangers 2-3 Derby County
- LDerby County 1-0 Queens Park Rangers
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.