RB Leipzig vs Hamburg SV prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:30, Red Bull Arena
Full time: 5-0
Our prediction
The model gives RB Leipzig a 65% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 15% for Hamburg SV. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 2.2, Hamburg SV 1.0. Most likely score: 2-0.
RBL65%Draw21%HSV15%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home65%✓Fair odds 1.54Double chanceHome or draw85%✓Fair odds 1.17Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✓Fair odds 1.61Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes57%✗Fair odds 1.77Correct score2-010%✗Fair odds 10.01Draw no betHome81%✓Fair odds 1.23Asian handicapHome -0.565%✓Fair odds 1.54Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome66%✓Fair odds 1.51Win to nilHome33%✓Fair odds 3.07
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 2-010%
- 2-19.8%
- 1-19.6%
- 1-08.3%
- 3-07.4%
Recent form
RB Leipzig
- LComo 4-1 RB Leipzig
- LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
- LSC Freiburg 4-1 RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig 2-1 St. Pauli
Hamburg SV
- LHamburg SV 0-5 Mainz
- LBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg SV
- DBayer Leverkusen 1-1 Hamburg SV
- WHamburg SV 3-2 SC Freiburg
- WEintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburg SV
Head to head
- WHamburg SV 1-2 RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburg SV
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.