Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction
Thursday 15 October 2026, 02:30, America First Field
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Real Salt Lake a 38% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 36% for San Jose Earthquakes. Expected goals: Real Salt Lake 1.6, San Jose Earthquakes 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
RSL38%Draw26%SJ36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✗Fair odds 2.62Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✗Fair odds 1.68Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.22Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.60Correct score1-112%✓Fair odds 8.50Draw no betHome51%Fair odds 1.95Asian handicapAway +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.62Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome48%✓Fair odds 2.08Win to nilHome16%✗Fair odds 6.07
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.8%
- 2-18.5%
- 1-28.3%
- 2-26.5%
- 1-06.3%
Recent form
Real Salt Lake
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake
- WReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England Revolution
- LSeattle Sounders FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake
- LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
- LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
- DColorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland Timbers
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 LAFC
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo FC
- WSan Diego FC 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.