Real Sociedad vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
Thursday 17 September 2026, 20:00, Reale Arena
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Real Sociedad a 30% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 45% for AFC Bournemouth. Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.4, AFC Bournemouth 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.
RSO30%Draw25%BOU45%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away45%✓Fair odds 2.22Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✓Fair odds 1.60Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes64%✓Fair odds 1.55Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.08Draw no betAway60%✓Fair odds 1.68Asian handicapHome +1.575%✓Fair odds 1.33Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway53%✓Fair odds 1.90Win to nilAway19%✗Fair odds 5.30
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29.1%
- 2-17.4%
- 2-26.6%
- 0-26.3%
Recent form
Real Sociedad
- LReal Sociedad 0-3 Atlético Madrid
- WElche 2-3 Real Sociedad
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo
- WReal Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol
- LReal Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad
AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
- DNewcastle United 2-2 AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 1-1 Everton
- LManchester City 2-1 AFC Bournemouth
- DNottingham Forest 1-1 AFC Bournemouth
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.