Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
Sunday 8 November 2026, 16:15, Reale Arena
Our prediction
The model gives Real Sociedad a 55% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 23% for Rayo Vallecano. Expected goals: Real Sociedad 2.1, Rayo Vallecano 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
RSO55%Draw22%RAY23%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home55%Fair odds 1.83Double chanceEither team78%Fair odds 1.29Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.566%Fair odds 1.50Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%Fair odds 1.16Both teams to scoreYes65%Fair odds 1.54Correct score1-110%Fair odds 10.22Draw no betHome70%Fair odds 1.42Asian handicapAway +1.567%Fair odds 1.50Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome59%Fair odds 1.70Win to nilHome23%Fair odds 4.41
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams score | 65% |
Most likely scores
- 1-19.8%
- 2-19.5%
- 2-07.2%
- 3-16.7%
- 2-26.3%
Recent form
Real Sociedad
- LAthletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad
- WReal Sociedad 2-1 Levante
- WLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad
- WMálaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
- DUnion St.-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
- WRayo Vallecano 3-0 Celta Vigo
- LRayo Vallecano 0-3 Elche
- DGetafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
- DOsasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
- WRayo Vallecano 2-1 Espanyol
Head to head
- DRayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Sociedad
- LReal Sociedad 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.