Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 00:30, Sports Illustrated Stadium

Full time: 4-1

Our prediction

The model gives Red Bull New York a 33% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 41% for San Diego FC. Expected goals: Red Bull New York 1.4, San Diego FC 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score61%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.2%
  • 1-28.9%
  • 2-17.9%
  • 0-17.2%
  • 0-26.4%

Recent form

Red Bull New York

  • LRed Bull New York 0-3 St. Louis CITY SC
  • WNew York City FC 0-1 Red Bull New York
  • WColumbus Crew 0-1 Red Bull New York
  • LLAFC 2-0 Red Bull New York
  • DSeattle Sounders FC 0-0 Red Bull New York

San Diego FC

  • DAustin FC 3-3 San Diego FC
  • DInter Miami CF 2-2 San Diego FC
  • LSan Diego FC 0-5 Philadelphia Union
  • LSan Diego FC 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes
  • LOrlando City SC 1-0 San Diego FC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More MLS predictions