Red Bull New York vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction

Thursday 1 October 2026, 00:30, Sports Illustrated Stadium

Full time: 0-3

Our prediction

The model gives Red Bull New York a 28% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 47% for St. Louis CITY SC. Expected goals: Red Bull New York 1.3, St. Louis CITY SC 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score60%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.9%
  • 1-29.4%
  • 0-17.8%
  • 0-27.4%
  • 2-17%

Recent form

Red Bull New York

  • WNew York City FC 0-1 Red Bull New York
  • WColumbus Crew 0-1 Red Bull New York
  • LLAFC 2-0 Red Bull New York
  • DSeattle Sounders FC 0-0 Red Bull New York
  • LRed Bull New York 1-3 Philadelphia Union

St. Louis CITY SC

  • WSt. Louis CITY SC 3-1 Toronto FC
  • WSt. Louis CITY SC 4-2 Minnesota United FC
  • DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CITY SC
  • WVancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CITY SC
  • DSt. Louis CITY SC 3-3 FC Dallas

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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