Red Bull New York vs Toronto FC prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30, Sports Illustrated Stadium
Full time: 0-2
Our prediction
The model gives Red Bull New York a 40% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 34% for Toronto FC. Expected goals: Red Bull New York 1.5, Toronto FC 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
RBNY40%Draw26%TOR34%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home40%✗Fair odds 2.50Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✗Fair odds 1.79Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes60%✗Fair odds 1.67Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.08Draw no betHome54%✗Fair odds 1.84Asian handicapAway +0.560%✓Fair odds 1.67Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome49%✗Fair odds 2.04Win to nilHome19%✗Fair odds 5.38
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.4%
- 2-18.8%
- 1-28%
- 1-07.3%
- 0-16.6%
Recent form
Red Bull New York
- LD.C. United 2-1 Red Bull New York
- WRed Bull New York 4-1 San Diego FC
- LRed Bull New York 0-3 St. Louis CITY SC
- WNew York City FC 0-1 Red Bull New York
- WColumbus Crew 0-1 Red Bull New York
Toronto FC
- DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SC
- WToronto FC 2-1 CF Montréal
- LNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC
- LSt. Louis CITY SC 3-1 Toronto FC
- LOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC
Head to head
- DToronto FC 1-1 Red Bull New York
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.