Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 21:00, Gigante de Arroyito
Full time: 5-0
Our prediction
The model gives Rosario Central a 45% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 27% for Independiente Rivadavia. Expected goals: Rosario Central 1.4, Independiente Rivadavia 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
ROS45%Draw29%RIV27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home45%✓Fair odds 2.24Double chanceHome or draw73%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.556%✗Fair odds 1.80Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.571%✓Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreNo50%✓Fair odds 1.99Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.33Draw no betHome63%✓Fair odds 1.60Asian handicapAway +0.555%✗Fair odds 1.81Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome52%✓Fair odds 1.92Win to nilHome26%✓Fair odds 3.87
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.7%
- 1-011.2%
- 0-09.6%
- 2-18.9%
- 2-08.6%
Recent form
Rosario Central
- DBanfield 1-1 Rosario Central
- WRosario Central 1-0 Argentinos Juniors
- WTigre 0-1 Rosario Central
- DRosario Central 1-1 Newell's Old Boys
- LRosario Central 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata
Independiente Rivadavia
- DIndependiente Rivadavia 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata
- WBarracas Central 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia
- WIndependiente Rivadavia 4-3 Aldosivi
- LRiver Plate 3-1 Independiente Rivadavia
- WIndependiente Rivadavia 3-1 Racing Club
Head to head
- LIndependiente Rivadavia 2-0 Rosario Central
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.