San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors prediction

Sunday 20 September 2026, 18:45, Estadio Pedro Bidegain

Full time: 0-2

Our prediction

The model gives San Lorenzo a 24% chance of winning, 34% for a draw and 42% for Boca Juniors. Expected goals: San Lorenzo 0.8, Boca Juniors 1.1. Most likely score: 0-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals56%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Both teams score36%

Most likely scores

  • 0-017%
  • 0-116.1%
  • 1-114.1%
  • 1-011.1%
  • 0-29.2%

Recent form

San Lorenzo

  • DIndependiente 1-1 San Lorenzo
  • WSan Lorenzo 1-0 Talleres (Córdoba)
  • LInstituto (Córdoba) 1-0 San Lorenzo
  • DEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 0-0 San Lorenzo
  • WSan Lorenzo 1-0 Unión (Santa Fe)

Boca Juniors

  • WBoca Juniors 3-1 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
  • DGimnasia (Mendoza) 2-2 Boca Juniors
  • WBoca Juniors 1-0 Lanús
  • DRacing Club 1-1 Boca Juniors
  • DPlatense 1-1 Boca Juniors

Head to head

  • DBoca Juniors 1-1 San Lorenzo

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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