Schalke 04 vs Mainz prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30, Veltins Arena
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Schalke 04 a 41% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 30% for Mainz. Expected goals: Schalke 04 1.3, Mainz 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
S0441%Draw29%M0530%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✗Fair odds 2.44Double chanceEither team71%✓Fair odds 1.41Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.571%✗Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreYes50%✗Fair odds 1.98Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.22Draw no betHome58%✗Fair odds 1.73Asian handicapAway +0.559%✓Fair odds 1.70Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome49%✗Fair odds 2.02Win to nilHome23%✗Fair odds 4.28
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.9%
- 1-010.6%
- 0-09.7%
- 2-18.6%
- 0-18.5%
Recent form
Schalke 04
- LSC Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04
- DSchalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg
- W1. FC Union Berlin 1-3 Schalke 04
- DSchalke 04 0-0 Bayern Munich
- LFC Augsburg 3-0 Schalke 04
Mainz
- LMainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 Mainz
- LMainz 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- WHamburg SV 0-5 Mainz
- DMainz 0-0 SC Paderborn 07
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.