Hand of Arsenal

Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC prediction

Sunday 27 September 2026, 01:30, Lumen Field

Full time: 3-1

Our prediction

The model gives Seattle Sounders FC a 43% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 30% for Minnesota United FC. Expected goals: Seattle Sounders FC 1.6, Minnesota United FC 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Match result (1X2)Home43%✓Fair odds 2.31Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes59%✓Fair odds 1.69Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.10Draw no betHome59%✓Fair odds 1.71Asian handicapAway +0.557%✗Fair odds 1.76Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome51%✓Fair odds 1.95Win to nilHome21%✗Fair odds 4.85

Goals

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score59%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.4%
  • 2-19.1%
  • 1-07.8%
  • 1-27.5%
  • 2-07%

Recent form

Seattle Sounders FC

  • WSeattle Sounders FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake
  • DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle Sounders FC
  • DLA Galaxy 1-1 Seattle Sounders FC
  • DSeattle Sounders FC 0-0 Red Bull New York
  • DSeattle Sounders FC 2-2 Chicago Fire FC

Minnesota United FC

  • LMinnesota United FC 2-3 LA Galaxy
  • LSt. Louis CITY SC 4-2 Minnesota United FC
  • LMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC Dallas
  • LPortland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FC
  • DMinnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SC

Head to head

  • DMinnesota United FC 0-0 Seattle Sounders FC
  • WSeattle Sounders FC 4-2 Minnesota United FC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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