Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

Friday 2 October 2026, 02:30, Lumen Field

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Seattle Sounders FC a 60% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 18% for Sporting Kansas City. Expected goals: Seattle Sounders FC 2.1, Sporting Kansas City 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score58%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.3%
  • 2-19.9%
  • 2-09.2%
  • 1-08.1%
  • 3-16.9%

Recent form

Seattle Sounders FC

  • WSeattle Sounders FC 3-1 Minnesota United FC
  • WSeattle Sounders FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake
  • DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle Sounders FC
  • DLA Galaxy 1-1 Seattle Sounders FC
  • DSeattle Sounders FC 0-0 Red Bull New York

Sporting Kansas City

  • WHouston Dynamo FC 0-2 Sporting Kansas City
  • LSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union
  • WSporting Kansas City 3-1 LAFC
  • LFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas City
  • LSporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps

Head to head

  • DSporting Kansas City 1-1 Seattle Sounders FC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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