Sheffield United vs Derby County prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:30, Bramall Lane
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Sheffield United a 51% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 24% for Derby County. Expected goals: Sheffield United 1.7, Derby County 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
SHU51%Draw25%DER24%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home51%✗Fair odds 1.97Double chanceHome or draw76%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.83Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.27Both teams to scoreYes57%✓Fair odds 1.76Correct score1-112%✓Fair odds 8.31Draw no betHome68%Fair odds 1.47Asian handicapAway +1.572%✓Fair odds 1.39Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome57%✗Fair odds 1.77Win to nilHome26%✗Fair odds 3.89
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-19.7%
- 1-09%
- 2-08.6%
- 0-06.6%
Recent form
Sheffield United
- WBristol City 0-1 Sheffield United
- LPortsmouth 3-2 Sheffield United
- WSheffield United 3-0 Lincoln City
- LStoke City 2-1 Sheffield United
- LSheffield United 0-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Derby County
- LDerby County 0-1 Stoke City
- LQueens Park Rangers 4-1 Derby County
- DDerby County 1-1 Wrexham
- DBurnley 1-1 Derby County
- LDerby County 1-2 Birmingham City
Head to head
- WDerby County 1-2 Sheffield United
- LSheffield United 1-3 Derby County
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.