SK Sturm Graz vs Marseille prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 17:45, Merkur Arena
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives SK Sturm Graz a 25% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 45% for Marseille. Expected goals: SK Sturm Graz 1.0, Marseille 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
STG25%Draw29%OLM45%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away45%✗Fair odds 2.21Double chanceAway or draw75%✗Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.71Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.569%✗Fair odds 1.45Both teams to scoreNo53%✓Fair odds 1.90Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.25Draw no betAway64%✗Fair odds 1.56Asian handicapHome +1.578%✓Fair odds 1.28Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreAway52%✗Fair odds 1.91Win to nilAway27%✗Fair odds 3.66
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.8%
- 0-112.2%
- 0-010.6%
- 0-29.1%
- 1-28.8%
Recent form
SK Sturm Graz
- LAFC Bournemouth 3-0 SK Sturm Graz
- DSK Sturm Graz 0-0 Stade Rennais
- WSK Sturm Graz 1-0 SK Brann
- LFeyenoord Rotterdam 3-0 SK Sturm Graz
- LSK Sturm Graz 0-1 Red Star Belgrade
Marseille
- WAngers 2-5 Marseille
- LMarseille 0-1 Olympiacos
- WTroyes 0-2 Marseille
- LMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- LBesiktas 4-1 Marseille
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.