SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais prediction

Wednesday 16 September 2026, 20:00, Merkur Arena

Full time: 0-0

Our prediction

The model gives SK Sturm Graz a 29% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 44% for Stade Rennais. Expected goals: SK Sturm Graz 1.2, Stade Rennais 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score56%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.8%
  • 1-29.2%
  • 0-18.8%
  • 0-27.5%
  • 0-07.3%

Recent form

SK Sturm Graz

  • WSK Sturm Graz 1-0 SK Brann
  • LFeyenoord Rotterdam 3-0 SK Sturm Graz
  • LSK Sturm Graz 0-1 Red Star Belgrade
  • LPanathinaikos 2-1 SK Sturm Graz
  • DSK Sturm Graz 0-0 Nottingham Forest

Stade Rennais

  • WStade Rennais 1-0 Marseille
  • WAngers 1-2 Stade Rennais
  • WStade Rennais 3-2 Le Mans
  • DStade Rennais 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
  • LMarseille 3-1 Stade Rennais

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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