Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00, St. Mary's Stadium
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Southampton a 72% chance of winning, 17% for a draw and 11% for Bolton Wanderers. Expected goals: Southampton 2.7, Bolton Wanderers 1.0. Most likely score: 2-1.
SOU72%Draw17%BOL11%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home72%✗Fair odds 1.39Double chanceHome or draw89%✓Fair odds 1.13Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.572%✗Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.589%✗Fair odds 1.12Both teams to scoreYes61%✗Fair odds 1.65Correct score2-19%✗Fair odds 11.11Draw no betHome86%Fair odds 1.16Asian handicapHome -0.572%✗Fair odds 1.39Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.96First team to scoreHome70%✗Fair odds 1.42Win to nilHome33%✗Fair odds 3.07
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 2-08.7%
- 3-18.1%
- 3-07.8%
- 1-17.2%
Recent form
Southampton
- WNorwich City 0-1 Southampton
- WSouthampton 1-0 Portsmouth
- LWrexham 2-1 Southampton
- WSouthampton 4-1 Bristol City
- WSouthampton 3-1 Swansea City
Bolton Wanderers
- WWolverhampton Wanderers 1-3 Bolton Wanderers
- LBolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City
- WNorwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers
- WBolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City
- LBolton Wanderers 2-3 West Ham United
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.