Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake prediction

Sunday 18 October 2026, 01:30, Sporting Park

Full time: 1-3

Our prediction

The model gives Sporting Kansas City a 34% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 42% for Real Salt Lake. Expected goals: Sporting Kansas City 1.6, Real Salt Lake 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams score68%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.3%
  • 1-28.6%
  • 2-17.7%
  • 2-27%
  • 0-25.3%

Recent form

Sporting Kansas City

  • LNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City
  • DSporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland Timbers
  • LSeattle Sounders FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
  • WHouston Dynamo FC 0-2 Sporting Kansas City
  • LSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union

Real Salt Lake

  • DReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • LPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake
  • WReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England Revolution
  • LSeattle Sounders FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake
  • LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps

Head to head

  • LReal Salt Lake 3-1 Sporting Kansas City
  • LReal Salt Lake 2-1 Sporting Kansas City

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More MLS predictions