St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 01:30, Energizer Park
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives St. Louis CITY SC a 56% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 22% for Toronto FC. Expected goals: St. Louis CITY SC 2.1, Toronto FC 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
STL56%Draw22%TOR22%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home56%✓Fair odds 1.77Double chanceHome or draw78%✓Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.566%✓Fair odds 1.51Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%✓Fair odds 1.16Both teams to scoreYes64%✓Fair odds 1.56Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 10.29Draw no betHome72%✓Fair odds 1.38Asian handicapHome -0.556%✓Fair odds 1.77Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome60%✓Fair odds 1.66Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.18
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
Most likely scores
- 1-19.7%
- 2-19.6%
- 2-07.5%
- 3-16.8%
- 1-06.3%
Recent form
St. Louis CITY SC
- WSt. Louis CITY SC 4-2 Minnesota United FC
- DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CITY SC
- WVancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CITY SC
- DSt. Louis CITY SC 3-3 FC Dallas
- WSt. Louis CITY SC 2-1 Houston Dynamo FC
Toronto FC
- LOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC
- WToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire FC
- DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FC
- WInter Miami CF 1-2 Toronto FC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.