Stade Rennais vs Marseille prediction
Friday 11 September 2026, 19:45, Roazhon Park
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Stade Rennais a 49% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 28% for Marseille. Expected goals: Stade Rennais 2.1, Marseille 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
REN49%Draw22%OLM28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%✓Fair odds 2.03Double chanceEither team78%✓Fair odds 1.29Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.570%✗Fair odds 1.42Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.588%✗Fair odds 1.13Both teams to scoreYes70%✗Fair odds 1.43Correct score1-19%✗Fair odds 10.86Draw no betHome64%✓Fair odds 1.57Asian handicapAway +1.571%✓Fair odds 1.41Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.81Win to nilHome18%✓Fair odds 5.61
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams score | 70% |
Most likely scores
- 1-19.2%
- 2-18.9%
- 2-26.9%
- 1-26.6%
- 3-16.2%
Recent form
Stade Rennais
- WAngers 1-2 Stade Rennais
- WStade Rennais 3-2 Le Mans
- DStade Rennais 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- LMarseille 3-1 Stade Rennais
- WStade Rennais 2-1 Paris FC
Marseille
- LMarseille 2-3 Paris FC
- LAS Monaco 2-0 Marseille
- WMarseille 4-0 Strasbourg
- WMarseille 3-1 Stade Rennais
- WLe Havre AC 0-1 Marseille
Head to head
- LMarseille 3-1 Stade Rennais
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.