Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction
Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00, bet365 Stadium
Full time: 2-3
Our prediction
The model gives Stoke City a 31% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 41% for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Stoke City 1.2, Middlesbrough 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
STK31%Draw28%MID41%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away41%✓Fair odds 2.42Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.551%✓Fair odds 1.96Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✓Fair odds 1.31Both teams to scoreYes56%✓Fair odds 1.79Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.64Draw no betAway57%✓Fair odds 1.76Asian handicapHome +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.70Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway50%✓Fair odds 2.00Win to nilAway21%✗Fair odds 4.74
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.1%
- 1-28.9%
- 0-18.7%
- 0-07.6%
- 2-17.6%
Recent form
Stoke City
- WBolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City
- WStoke City 2-1 Sheffield United
- WWatford 1-2 Stoke City
- DCardiff City 1-1 Stoke City
- WStoke City 4-0 Charlton Athletic
Middlesbrough
- WMiddlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Middlesbrough
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 Millwall
- WMiddlesbrough 4-3 Norwich City
- WQueens Park Rangers 0-1 Middlesbrough
Head to head
- LStoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough
- DMiddlesbrough 0-0 Stoke City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.