Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:15, Stade de la Meinau
Full time: 1-3
Our prediction
The model gives Strasbourg a 22% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 57% for Paris Saint-Germain. Expected goals: Strasbourg 1.4, Paris Saint-Germain 2.3. Most likely score: 1-2.
STR22%Draw21%PSG57%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away57%✓Fair odds 1.76Double chanceEither team79%✓Fair odds 1.27Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.571%✓Fair odds 1.41Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.589%✓Fair odds 1.13Both teams to scoreYes68%✓Fair odds 1.47Correct score1-29%✗Fair odds 10.85Draw no betAway72%✓Fair odds 1.39Asian handicapAway -0.557%✓Fair odds 1.76Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreAway60%✗Fair odds 1.67Win to nilAway22%✗Fair odds 4.60
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams score | 68% |
Most likely scores
- 1-29.2%
- 1-18.8%
- 1-37%
- 0-26.6%
- 2-26.4%
Recent form
Strasbourg
- LNice 2-1 Strasbourg
- LParis FC 2-1 Strasbourg
- DStrasbourg 1-1 AS Monaco
- WTroyes 2-6 Strasbourg
- WStrasbourg 2-1 Lens
Paris Saint-Germain
- WManchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-Germain
- WParis Saint-Germain 3-1 Le Mans
- WMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- WBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain
- WParis Saint-Germain 6-1 Slovan Bratislava
Head to head
- LStrasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- DParis Saint-Germain 3-3 Strasbourg
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.