Swansea City vs Burnley prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00, Swansea.com Stadium
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Swansea City a 61% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 16% for Burnley. Expected goals: Swansea City 1.9, Burnley 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
SWA61%Draw23%BUR16%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home61%✓Fair odds 1.65Double chanceHome or draw84%✓Fair odds 1.19Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✓Fair odds 1.89Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.29Both teams to scoreYes51%✓Fair odds 1.96Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.95Draw no betHome79%✓Fair odds 1.27Asian handicapHome -0.561%✓Fair odds 1.65Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome64%✓Fair odds 1.57Win to nilHome34%✗Fair odds 2.92
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.2%
- 2-011.1%
- 1-010.8%
- 2-19.9%
- 3-07.1%
Recent form
Swansea City
- LSouthampton 3-1 Swansea City
- DSwansea City 0-0 Wrexham
- WSwansea City 2-0 Watford
- WDerby County 0-3 Swansea City
- DSwansea City 0-0 Sheffield United
Burnley
- DWrexham 1-1 Burnley
- LBurnley 1-2 Bristol City
- DBurnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- LNorwich City 4-1 Burnley
- LWest Bromwich Albion 3-1 Burnley
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.