Swansea City vs Wrexham prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:00, Swansea.com Stadium
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Swansea City a 48% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 26% for Wrexham. Expected goals: Swansea City 1.6, Wrexham 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
SWA48%Draw26%WXM26%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✗Fair odds 2.09Double chanceHome or draw74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.88Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✗Fair odds 1.29Both teams to scoreYes56%✗Fair odds 1.78Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.01Draw no betHome65%Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome55%✗Fair odds 1.83Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.09
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.5%
- 2-19.5%
- 1-09.1%
- 2-08.2%
- 0-07%
Recent form
Swansea City
- WSwansea City 2-0 Watford
- WDerby County 0-3 Swansea City
- DSwansea City 0-0 Sheffield United
- WStoke City 1-2 Swansea City
- WSwansea City 3-1 Charlton Athletic
Wrexham
- WMillwall 0-3 Wrexham
- LWrexham 1-2 Birmingham City
- DWrexham 1-1 Watford
- DCardiff City 1-1 Wrexham
- DWrexham 2-2 Middlesbrough
Head to head
- LWrexham 2-0 Swansea City
- WSwansea City 2-1 Wrexham
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.