Toronto FC vs CF Montréal prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:00, BMO Field
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Toronto FC a 54% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 22% for CF Montréal. Expected goals: Toronto FC 1.9, CF Montréal 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
TOR54%Draw24%MTL22%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home54%✓Fair odds 1.85Double chanceHome or draw78%✓Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.72Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✓Fair odds 1.23Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.71Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.85Draw no betHome71%✓Fair odds 1.41Asian handicapAway +1.568%✓Fair odds 1.46Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome59%✗Fair odds 1.70Win to nilHome26%✗Fair odds 3.79
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.3%
- 2-19.8%
- 2-08.7%
- 1-08.4%
- 3-16.2%
Recent form
Toronto FC
- LNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC
- LSt. Louis CITY SC 3-1 Toronto FC
- LOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC
- WToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire FC
CF Montréal
- WCF Montréal 3-1 FC Cincinnati
- LCF Montréal 0-2 Columbus Crew
- LColorado Rapids 1-0 CF Montréal
- LCF Montréal 1-2 Charlotte FC
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF Montréal
Head to head
- DCF Montréal 0-0 Toronto FC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.