Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 00:30, BMO Field
Full time: 4-4
Our prediction
The model gives Toronto FC a 37% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 37% for Chicago Fire FC. Expected goals: Toronto FC 1.5, Chicago Fire FC 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
TOR37%Draw26%CHI37%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away37%✗Fair odds 2.69Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%✓Fair odds 1.76Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.65Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.15Draw no betAway50%Fair odds 1.98Asian handicapHome +0.563%✓Fair odds 1.59Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway47%✓Fair odds 2.12Win to nilAway17%✗Fair odds 5.94
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 1-28.4%
- 2-18.4%
- 0-16.8%
- 1-06.7%
Recent form
Toronto FC
- DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FC
- WInter Miami CF 1-2 Toronto FC
- DToronto FC 3-3 Charlotte FC
- WToronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution
- DNew York City FC 1-1 Toronto FC
Chicago Fire FC
- DSeattle Sounders FC 2-2 Chicago Fire FC
- DRed Bull New York 1-1 Chicago Fire FC
- WOrlando City SC 1-2 Chicago Fire FC
- WChicago Fire FC 2-1 Portland Timbers
- WChicago Fire FC 2-1 Charlotte FC
Head to head
- LChicago Fire FC 2-1 Toronto FC
- DChicago Fire FC 2-2 Toronto FC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.