Toronto FC vs Nashville SC prediction

Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30, BMO Field

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Toronto FC a 24% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 50% for Nashville SC. Expected goals: Toronto FC 1.1, Nashville SC 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score55%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.4%
  • 1-29.6%
  • 0-19.5%
  • 0-28.7%
  • 0-07.2%

Recent form

Toronto FC

  • DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire FC
  • DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FC
  • WInter Miami CF 1-2 Toronto FC
  • DToronto FC 3-3 Charlotte FC
  • WToronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution

Nashville SC

  • DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SC
  • WNashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati
  • WNashville SC 3-2 Columbus Crew
  • WRed Bull New York 0-1 Nashville SC
  • WNashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami CF

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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