Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC prediction
Thursday 15 October 2026, 00:30, BMO Field
Full time: 3-3
Our prediction
The model gives Toronto FC a 48% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 30% for Orlando City SC. Expected goals: Toronto FC 2.2, Orlando City SC 1.7. Most likely score: 2-1.
TOR48%Draw22%ORL30%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✗Fair odds 2.09Double chanceEither team78%✗Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.590%✓Fair odds 1.11Both teams to scoreYes73%✓Fair odds 1.37Correct score2-18%✗Fair odds 12.00Draw no betHome61%Fair odds 1.63Asian handicapAway +1.571%✓Fair odds 1.40Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome54%✓Fair odds 1.84Win to nilHome15%✗Fair odds 6.49
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% |
| Both teams score | 73% |
Most likely scores
- 2-18.3%
- 1-18.3%
- 2-27.1%
- 1-26.6%
- 3-16%
Recent form
Toronto FC
- WToronto FC 2-1 CF Montréal
- LNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC
- LSt. Louis CITY SC 3-1 Toronto FC
- LOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC
- WToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
- WOrlando City SC 3-2 Columbus Crew
- LPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SC
- LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SC
- WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC
- WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SC
Head to head
- LOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC
- WToronto FC 4-2 Orlando City SC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.