Toulouse vs Lille prediction

Thursday 3 September 2026, 19:45, Stadium Municipal de Toulouse

Full time: 0-1

Our prediction

The model gives Toulouse a 33% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 37% for Lille. Expected goals: Toulouse 1.1, Lille 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score49%

Most likely scores

  • 1-114.2%
  • 0-010.7%
  • 0-110.6%
  • 1-09.9%
  • 1-27.9%

Recent form

Toulouse

  • DBrest 2-2 Toulouse
  • LToulouse 0-2 Lyon
  • WToulouse 2-1 Lyon
  • WStrasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
  • DToulouse 2-2 AS Monaco

Lille

  • DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
  • WAngers 0-2 Lille
  • LLille 0-2 AJ Auxerre
  • WAS Monaco 0-1 Lille
  • DLille 1-1 Le Havre AC

Head to head

  • LToulouse 0-4 Lille
  • LLille 2-1 Toulouse

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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