Troyes vs Marseille prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 19:45, Stade de l'Aube
Full time: 0-2
Our prediction
The model gives Troyes a 25% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 51% for Marseille. Expected goals: Troyes 1.3, Marseille 1.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
TRY25%Draw24%OLM51%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away51%✓Fair odds 1.97Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.62Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes62%✗Fair odds 1.60Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.15Draw no betAway67%✓Fair odds 1.50Asian handicapHome +1.571%✗Fair odds 1.41Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway57%✓Fair odds 1.77Win to nilAway23%✓Fair odds 4.44
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams score | 62% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.9%
- 1-29.6%
- 0-27.4%
- 0-17%
- 2-16.5%
Recent form
Troyes
- LAngers 2-0 Troyes
- LLille 2-0 Troyes
- LTroyes 2-6 Strasbourg
- WLorient 1-2 Troyes
- DTroyes 0-0 Paris FC
Marseille
- LMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- LBesiktas 4-1 Marseille
- LStade Rennais 1-0 Marseille
- LMarseille 2-3 Paris FC
- LAS Monaco 2-0 Marseille
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.