TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Sunday 25 October 2026, 15:30, PreZero Arena

Full time: 3-0

Our prediction

The model gives TSG Hoffenheim a 27% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 51% for Bayer Leverkusen. Expected goals: TSG Hoffenheim 1.5, Bayer Leverkusen 2.1. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams score70%

Most likely scores

  • 1-19%
  • 1-28.9%
  • 2-26.8%
  • 2-16.4%
  • 1-36.3%

Recent form

TSG Hoffenheim

  • WTSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon
  • WBorussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
  • LTSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Besiktas
  • LTSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburg SV
  • LSC Paderborn 07 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim

Bayer Leverkusen

  • WOFI Crete 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • WBayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg
  • WLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • WMainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig

Head to head

  • WTSG Hoffenheim 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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