TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 14:30, PreZero Arena
Full time: 2-3
Our prediction
The model gives TSG Hoffenheim a 32% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 44% for Borussia Dortmund. Expected goals: TSG Hoffenheim 1.5, Borussia Dortmund 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.
TSG32%Draw24%DOR44%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away44%✓Fair odds 2.27Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%✓Fair odds 1.55Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.17Both teams to scoreYes66%✓Fair odds 1.51Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.39Draw no betAway58%✓Fair odds 1.72Asian handicapHome +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.79Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway52%✗Fair odds 1.92Win to nilAway18%✗Fair odds 5.68
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams score | 66% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.7%
- 1-28.9%
- 2-17.5%
- 2-26.8%
- 0-25.9%
Recent form
TSG Hoffenheim
- LFC Cologne 3-2 TSG Hoffenheim
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 TSG Hoffenheim
- WTSG Hoffenheim 1-0 Werder Bremen
- DTSG Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart
- WHamburg SV 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg SV
- WWerder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 4-0 SC Freiburg
Head to head
- WTSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
- LBorussia Dortmund 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.