TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction

Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00, PreZero Arena

Full time: 3-0

Our prediction

The model gives TSG Hoffenheim a 31% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 45% for Lyon. Expected goals: TSG Hoffenheim 1.5, Lyon 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score67%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.5%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-17.4%
  • 2-26.8%
  • 0-25.9%

Recent form

TSG Hoffenheim

  • WBorussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
  • LTSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Besiktas
  • LTSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburg SV
  • LSC Paderborn 07 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim
  • LOFI Crete 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim

Lyon

  • WLyon 2-1 Nice
  • WLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace
  • LLens 2-1 Lyon
  • WLyon 4-0 Stade Rennais
  • WAnderlecht 1-2 Lyon

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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