Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:45, 15 de Abril
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Unión (Santa Fe) a 44% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 30% for Independiente. Expected goals: Unión (Santa Fe) 1.6, Independiente 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
USF44%Draw26%IND30%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✗Fair odds 2.28Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.77Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes60%✓Fair odds 1.68Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.20Draw no betHome59%✗Fair odds 1.69Asian handicapAway +0.556%✓Fair odds 1.78Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome52%✓Fair odds 1.93Win to nilHome21%✗Fair odds 4.85
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 2-19.2%
- 1-07.7%
- 1-27.4%
- 2-07%
Recent form
Unión (Santa Fe)
- LTalleres (Córdoba) 2-1 Unión (Santa Fe)
- WUnión (Santa Fe) 3-2 Instituto (Córdoba)
- WUnión (Santa Fe) 4-1 Sarmiento (Junín)
- WAldosivi 1-3 Unión (Santa Fe)
- LSan Lorenzo 1-0 Unión (Santa Fe)
Independiente
- DIndependiente 1-1 San Lorenzo
- WCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0-1 Independiente
- LIndependiente 0-3 Gimnasia (Mendoza)
- DIndependiente 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia
- WLanús 1-3 Independiente
Head to head
- DIndependiente 4-4 Unión (Santa Fe)
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.