Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad prediction
Thursday 15 October 2026, 17:45, King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Union St.-Gilloise a 55% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 23% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals: Union St.-Gilloise 2.0, Real Sociedad 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
USG55%Draw23%RSO23%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home55%✗Fair odds 1.83Double chanceHome or draw77%✓Fair odds 1.29Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.564%✗Fair odds 1.56Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.18Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.58Correct score1-110%✓Fair odds 9.76Draw no betHome71%Fair odds 1.42Asian handicapAway +1.567%✓Fair odds 1.49Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome59%✗Fair odds 1.70Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.20
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.3%
- 2-19.7%
- 2-07.7%
- 1-06.8%
- 3-16.6%
Recent form
Union St.-Gilloise
- WViktoria Plzen 0-3 Union St.-Gilloise
- WUnion St.-Gilloise 1-0 Atalanta
- LBayern Munich 2-0 Union St.-Gilloise
- LUnion St.-Gilloise 2-3 Marseille
- WGalatasaray 0-1 Union St.-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
- WReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo
- WValencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
- LReal Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
- LReal Sociedad 0-3 Atlético Madrid
- WElche 2-3 Real Sociedad
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.